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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Thursday 10 November 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 10 November 2022. Osters IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC sits top on 85% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 72%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the over 1.5 goals market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 2 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
2 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
1 : 0 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden
Sandviken
0 : 2 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
1 : 1 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
1 : 1 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
1 : 0 FT
Cambuur
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Lviv
2 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
0 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Ionikos
0 : 3 FT
PAOK
Win 25%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 59%

Showing top 13 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Thursday 10 November 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Osters IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC at 85% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.