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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 7 November 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 7 November 2022. Fenerbahçe vs Sivasspor sits top on 86% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 72%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies three of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
1 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
0 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
2 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 0 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
5 : 0 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggina
2 : 1 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Metz
3 : 2 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
2 : 0 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 7 November 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Fenerbahçe vs Sivasspor at 86% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.