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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 8 November 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 8 November 2022. Bayern München vs Werder Bremen sits top on 89% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 73%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
6 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
3 : 0 FT
Goias
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 0 FT
Borussia Dortmund
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
0 : 2 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 66%
#5 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
0 : 0 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
0 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Championship Β· England
Blackpool
0 : 3 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
2 : 0 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Bochum
2 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
0 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
Spezia
1 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Inhulets
1 : 0 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
#15 League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
1 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
1 : 5 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 25%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 49%
#17 Championship Β· England
Watford
2 : 0 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#18 League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
#20 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Zall
2 : 1 FT
Guangzhou R&F
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 8 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Werder Bremen at 89% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.