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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 1 February 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 1 February 2026. The strongest reading belongs to PAOK vs Panserraikos at 84% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the home win market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
4 : 1 FT
Panserraikos
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 64% PAOK Clean Sheet 62%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 57% Real Madrid Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
2 : 1 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
3 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 2 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
2 : 1 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
1 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 69%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
0 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
3 : 0 FT
Kifisia
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 0 FT
Al Najma
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
0 : 0 FT
Auxerre
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
0 : 1 FT
Brentford
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
4 : 0 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
3 : 2 FT
Muangthong United
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
1 : 0 FT
Lille
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 15 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 1 February 2026?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by PAOK vs Panserraikos at 84% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.