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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Saturday 18 April 2026

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 18 April 2026. Viking vs Brann sits top on 4.31 in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 4.31 down to 3.08, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the goal fest market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
3 : 2 FT
Brann
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Thun
3 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
Sandviken
0 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
1 : 2 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Limache
3 : 0 FT
Universidad de Concepcion
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
3 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
1 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 2 FT
Southampton
Win 37%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
1 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 37%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
1 : 4 FT
Botafogo
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Superettan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
4 : 1 FT
United Nordic
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Gnistan
0 : 3 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 25%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 League Two Β· England
Notts County
1 : 2 FT
Barnet
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 53%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Dynamo Dresden
2 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
2 : 0 FT
Levadiakos
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
0 : 0 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
2 : 0 FT
Marseille
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Saturday 18 April 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Brann at 4.31 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.