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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Saturday 6 December 2025

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 6 December 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Feyenoord vs PEC Zwolle at 4.53 in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 4.53 down to 3.23, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the goal fest market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
6 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 17%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heerenveen
0 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 22%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
2 : 1 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
2 : 0 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 21%
Draw 20%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
6 : 0 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 72%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
3 : 1 FT
Kanchanaburi
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 13%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS No 55% Buriram United Clean Sheet 54%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
1 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 17%
Draw 23%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 68%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3 : 1 FT
Dynamo Dresden
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
0 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kudrivka
1 : 2 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 32%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
1 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
1 : 1 FT
Rodez
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 League One Β· England
Cardiff
3 : 2 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
3 : 5 FT
Barcelona
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
1 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
2 : 2 FT
RWDM
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
3 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
1 : 0 FT
Strasbourg
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Saturday 6 December 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Feyenoord vs PEC Zwolle at 4.53 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.