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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability β€” Sunday 13 November 2022

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 13 November 2022. Benfica vs GIL Vicente sits top on 86% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the first half goals market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 86%
Benfica
3 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway 84%
Kristiansund BK
1 : 1 FT
jerv
Win 66%
Draw 16%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway 84%
Stromsgodset
2 : 4 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 26%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria 82%
Austria Vienna
0 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 36%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 41%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 74%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France 82%
Lille
1 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia 81%
FC Orenburg
5 : 1 FT
FC Krasnodar
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway 81%
Rosenborg
2 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria 81%
Austria Klagenfurt
0 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 15%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Super League Β· China 80%
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 3 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 80%
K. Lierse S.K.
1 : 5 FT
SK Beveren
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France 80%
Paris Saint Germain
5 : 0 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 79%
Arminia Bielefeld
3 : 1 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France 79%
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway 79%
Valerenga
1 : 2 FT
Molde
Win 25%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 78%
Groningen
2 : 3 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 78%
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 33%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 78%
Feyenoord
5 : 1 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#18 Premier League Β· England 78%
Fulham
1 : 2 FT
Manchester United
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#19 Super League Β· China 78%
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 FT
Wuhan Zall
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 77%
İstanbulspor
0 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals β€” common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Sunday 13 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Benfica vs GIL Vicente at 86% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.