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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Sunday 29 January 2023

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 29 January 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Slavia Praha vs FK Jablonec (Slavia Praha (draw no bet)) at 91% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the draw no bet market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha (draw no bet) 91%
Slavia Praha
5 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys (draw no bet) 88%
BSC Young Boys
5 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren (draw no bet) 87%
Standard Liège II
2 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 11%
Draw 15%
Win 73%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus (draw no bet) 86%
Juventus
0 : 2 FT
Monza
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 63%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk (draw no bet) 85%
Genk
4 : 0 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC (draw no bet) 84%
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 31%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 54%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan (draw no bet) 81%
AC Milan
2 : 5 FT
Sassuolo
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec (draw no bet) 79%
Slovan Liberec
1 : 1 FT
Pardubice
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy Lazio (draw no bet) 76%
Lazio
1 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Ratchaburi (draw no bet) 76%
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 1 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa (draw no bet) 75%
Legia Warszawa
3 : 2 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV (draw no bet) 73%
Hamburger SV
4 : 2 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vizela (draw no bet) 73%
Vizela
3 : 1 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 66%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav (draw no bet) 72%
Mlada Boleslav
0 : 0 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Fortuna Sittard (draw no bet) 72%
Cambuur
1 : 2 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 20%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain (draw no bet) 72%
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
#17 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus (draw no bet) 71%
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 1 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#18 Primera División Β· Chile A. Italiano (draw no bet) 71%
A. Italiano
3 : 0 FT
Deportes Copiapo
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 53%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Köln (draw no bet) 71%
FC Schalke 04
0 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe (draw no bet) 70%
Fenerbahçe
5 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 29 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs FK Jablonec (Slavia Praha (draw no bet)) at 91% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.