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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Saturday 2 April 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 2 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon (Sheffield Wednesday (draw no bet)) at 90% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the draw no bet market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday (draw no bet) 90%
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal GIL Vicente (draw no bet) 88%
Arouca
2 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 9%
Draw 26%
Win 65%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 62% GIL Vicente Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen (draw no bet) 88%
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord (draw no bet) 87%
Feyenoord
2 : 0 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France Toulouse (draw no bet) 87%
Toulouse
2 : 1 FT
Paris FC
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#6 Premier League Β· England Liverpool (draw no bet) 87%
Liverpool
2 : 0 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Liverpool Clean Sheet 53%
#7 League Two Β· England Forest Green (draw no bet) 85%
Forest Green
1 : 0 FT
Scunthorpe
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Premier League Β· England Manchester City (draw no bet) 84%
Burnley
0 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 12%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ Manchester City Clean Sheet 60%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim (draw no bet) 84%
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France Caen (draw no bet) 83%
Caen
2 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 60%
#11 League One Β· England Ipswich (draw no bet) 82%
Ipswich
0 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Frankfurt (draw no bet) 81%
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid (draw no bet) 81%
Atletico Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 League One Β· England Wycombe (draw no bet) 79%
Wycombe
2 : 0 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet) 78%
Shakhtar Donetsk
– : – CANC
FC Mariupol
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Championship Β· England Bournemouth (draw no bet) 77%
Bournemouth
3 : 2 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain Getafe (draw no bet) 77%
Getafe
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy Ascoli (draw no bet) 77%
Ascoli
1 : 0 FT
Pordenone
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy Lecce (draw no bet) 77%
Lecce
1 : 0 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Championship Β· England Fulham (draw no bet) 76%
QPR
0 : 2 FT
Fulham
Win 18%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 2 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon (Sheffield Wednesday (draw no bet)) at 90% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.