Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 10 January 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 10 January 2026. SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV (SC Freiburg or draw) sits top on 91% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg or draw
91%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United or draw
89%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal or draw
88%
Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia or draw
88%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC or draw
88%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar or draw
87%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
84%
Serie B · Italy
Carrarese or draw
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente or draw
83%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia or draw
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen or draw
81%
Serie B · Italy
Cesena or draw
80%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis or draw
79%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
77%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw
77%
Super League 1 · Greece
Kifisia or draw
77%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma or draw
77%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin or draw
76%
League One · England
Peterborough or draw
76%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC or draw
75%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 10 January 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV (SC Freiburg or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.