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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 23 November 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 23 November 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Olympic Charleroi vs Beerschot VA (Beerschot VA or draw) at 91% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Beerschot VA or draw 91%
Olympic Charleroi
1 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 9%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 66%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 63% Beerschot VA Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras or draw 90%
Palmeiras
0 : 0 FT
Fluminense
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Palmeiras Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 88%
Flamengo
3 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Göztepe or draw 88%
Göztepe
0 : 0 FT
Kocaelispor
Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Stade Brestois 29 or draw 85%
Stade Brestois 29
3 : 2 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Modena or draw 84%
Modena
0 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 83%
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 3 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 82%
Lille
4 : 2 FT
Paris FC
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
BTTS No 53%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Zlin or draw 82%
Slovácko
2 : 0 FT
Zlin
Win 18%
Draw 33%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria Rapid Vienna or draw 81%
Rapid Vienna
1 : 2 FT
Grazer AK
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 81%
Rizespor
2 : 5 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 19%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 55%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 81%
Antwerp
1 : 2 FT
Dender
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Groningen or draw 81%
Groningen
2 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Alanyaspor or draw 81%
Alanyaspor
1 : 2 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo or draw 81%
Colo Colo
4 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy Lazio or draw 80%
Lazio
2 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain Real Betis or draw 80%
Real Betis
1 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 53%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil Cruzeiro or draw 80%
Cruzeiro
3 : 0 FT
Corinthians
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#19 La Liga Β· Spain Rayo Vallecano or draw 80%
Oviedo
0 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#20 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 79%
PAOK
3 : 0 FT
Kifisia
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 23 November 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympic Charleroi vs Beerschot VA (Beerschot VA or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.