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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 21 February 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

17 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 21 February 2025. Zulte Waregem vs KRC Genk II (Zulte Waregem or draw) led the list at 88% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 82%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Zulte Waregem or draw 88%
Zulte Waregem
3 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar or draw 87%
Telstar
1 : 3 FT
Excelsior
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France Bastia or draw 84%
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
RED Star FC 93
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Premier League Β· England Brentford or draw 84%
Leicester
0 : 4 FT
Brentford
Win 16%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KV Mechelen or draw 82%
KV Mechelen
1 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 81%
De Graafschap
5 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 81%
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France Annecy or draw 80%
Martigues
2 : 0 FT
Annecy
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France Dunkerque or draw 79%
Dunkerque
3 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain Celta Vigo or draw 78%
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 FT
Osasuna
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Piast Gliwice or draw 77%
Piast Gliwice
2 : 2 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 76%
Rennes
1 : 0 FT
Reims
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland Drogheda United or draw 76%
Drogheda United
3 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 54%
#14 Championship Β· England Burnley or draw 76%
Burnley
4 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Helmond Sport or draw 76%
Helmond Sport
3 : 0 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine Kolos Kovalivka or draw 76%
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 2 FT
Chornomorets
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#17 Primera División Β· Chile A. Italiano or draw 75%
A. Italiano
4 : 2 FT
Deportes Iquique
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 21 February 2025?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zulte Waregem vs KRC Genk II (Zulte Waregem or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.