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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 22 February 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 22 February 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Sparta Praha vs České Budějovice (Sparta Praha or draw) at 92% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 92%
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 12%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 92%
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 53%
#3 League Two Β· England Notts County or draw 91%
Notts County
2 : 1 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 63% Notts County Clean Sheet 58%
#4 Premier League Β· England Tottenham or draw 91%
Ipswich
1 : 4 FT
Tottenham
Win 9%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 74%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Uthai Thani or draw 90%
Uthai Thani
0 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge II or draw 88%
Lokeren-Temse
2 : 1 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 12%
Draw 20%
Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France Metz or draw 87%
Metz
0 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria Austria Vienna or draw 87%
Austria Vienna
0 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 56%
Draw 31%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Championship Β· England West Brom or draw 86%
West Brom
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ West Brom Clean Sheet 56%
#10 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 86%
Arsenal
0 : 1 FT
West Ham
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 86%
Antwerp
2 : 2 FT
OH Leuven
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Magdeburg or draw 85%
Karlsruher SC
3 : 1 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 15%
Draw 15%
Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Casa Pia or draw 85%
Casa Pia
1 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 League Two Β· England Bradford or draw 84%
Bradford
2 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 84%
Feyenoord
2 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Wolfsburg or draw 84%
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 1 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Samsunspor or draw 84%
Samsunspor
2 : 3 FT
Rizespor
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Premier League Β· England Brighton or draw 84%
Southampton
0 : 4 FT
Brighton
Win 16%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 66%
#19 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 83%
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy Pisa or draw 83%
Pisa
3 : 1 FT
Juve Stabia
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 22 February 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sparta Praha vs České Budějovice (Sparta Praha or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.