Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 21 December 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 21 December 2024. Leeds vs Oxford United (Leeds or draw) led the list at 95% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Championship · England
Leeds or draw
95%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg or draw
88%
Championship · England
Sunderland or draw
85%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles or draw
84%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi or draw
84%
League Two · England
Walsall or draw
83%
Serie B · Italy
Sassuolo or draw
82%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen or draw
82%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA or draw
82%
Serie B · Italy
Bari or draw
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior or draw
80%
Serie B · Italy
Mantova or draw
79%
League Two · England
Doncaster or draw
79%
Premier League · England
Newcastle or draw
79%
Championship · England
Burnley or draw
78%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg or draw
78%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş or draw
78%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart or draw
78%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 21 December 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leeds vs Oxford United (Leeds or draw) at 95% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.