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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 22 December 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 22 December 2024. Buriram United vs Muangthong United (Buriram United or draw) sits top on 94% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Süper Lig supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 94%
Buriram United
1 : 0 FT
Muangthong United
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 67%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 92%
Trabzonspor
1 : 0 FT
Bodrum FK
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 89%
AEK Athens FC
1 : 1 FT
Levadiakos
Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 or draw 88%
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 12%
Draw 24%
Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 86%
Kayserispor
1 : 5 FT
Galatasaray
Win 14%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 85%
ADO Den Haag
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Gaziantep FK or draw 84%
Gaziantep FK
2 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 84%
Real Madrid
4 : 2 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam or draw 84%
FC Volendam
2 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Premier League Β· England Fulham or draw 83%
Fulham
0 : 0 FT
Southampton
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain Las Palmas or draw 82%
Las Palmas
1 : 0 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Standard Liege or draw 81%
Standard Liege
0 : 1 FT
Gent
Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Göztepe or draw 81%
Göztepe
3 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 81%
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 0 FT
Feyenoord
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 17%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 71%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Patro Eisden or draw 81%
Patro Eisden
2 : 3 FT
Seraing United
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 81%
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 80%
Monza
1 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#18 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 78%
Panathinaikos
1 : 0 FT
Kallithea
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 78%
Atalanta
3 : 2 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#20 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw 77%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 22 December 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Buriram United vs Muangthong United (Buriram United or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.