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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 15 December 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 15 December 2024. Plzen vs České Budějovice (Plzen or draw) sits top on 94% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Jupiler Pro League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 94%
Plzen
7 : 2 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 71%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 93%
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 72%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 92%
Ajax
3 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Ajax Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent or draw 90%
Gent
1 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 66%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 58%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 89%
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 53%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 87%
Club Brugge KV
2 : 0 FT
Genk
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 70%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 87%
Union St. Gilloise
3 : 1 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 30%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 86%
Fenerbahçe
3 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 86%
Barcelona
0 : 1 FT
Leganes
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Premier League Β· England Tottenham or draw 86%
Southampton
0 : 5 FT
Tottenham
Win 14%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine Ruh Lviv or draw 86%
Ruh Lviv
1 : 3 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 52%
Draw 33%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 68% Ruh Lviv Clean Sheet 58%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 85%
Teplice
1 : 0 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 15%
Draw 24%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 55%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy Brescia or draw 85%
Brescia
0 : 0 FT
Carrarese
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Premier League Β· England Chelsea or draw 84%
Chelsea
2 : 1 FT
Brentford
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 83%
AVS
1 : 1 FT
Benfica
Win 17%
Draw 23%
Win 60%
BTTS No 54%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 83%
AC Milan
0 : 0 FT
Genoa
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 83%
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#18 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Patro Eisden or draw 82%
KRC Genk II
1 : 3 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Ittihad Kalba or draw 82%
Dibba Al Hisn
2 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#20 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Lugano or draw 81%
FC Lugano
1 : 4 FT
Lausanne
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 15 December 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Plzen vs České Budějovice (Plzen or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.