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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 13 December 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Friday 13 December 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Toulouse vs Saint Etienne (Toulouse or draw) at 92% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France Toulouse or draw 92%
Toulouse
2 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Karlsruher SC or draw 88%
Karlsruher SC
4 : 2 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France PAU or draw 85%
PAU
1 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ PAU Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren or draw 80%
SK Beveren
1 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KV Mechelen or draw 80%
KV Mechelen
1 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda or draw 79%
Roda
0 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar or draw 77%
Telstar
3 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France Bastia or draw 76%
Bastia
3 : 1 FT
Guingamp
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 13 December 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Toulouse vs Saint Etienne (Toulouse or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.