Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 14 December 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 14 December 2024. Sheffield Utd vs Plymouth (Sheffield Utd or draw) led the list at 96% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 82%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd or draw
96%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg or draw
92%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria or draw
91%
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
91%
League One · England
Wrexham or draw
91%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord or draw
87%
Championship · England
Blackburn or draw
87%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893 or draw
87%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus or draw
86%
League One · England
Reading or draw
86%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR or draw
85%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava or draw
84%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw
84%
Ligue 2 · France
Annecy or draw
84%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta or draw
84%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin or draw
83%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk or draw
83%
League One · England
Wycombe or draw
83%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons or draw
82%
League One · England
Birmingham or draw
82%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 14 December 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Utd vs Plymouth (Sheffield Utd or draw) at 96% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.