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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 30 November 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 30 November 2024. Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg (Eintracht Braunschweig or draw) led the list at 93% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Braunschweig or draw 93%
Eintracht Braunschweig
0 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 70%
#2 Championship Β· England Norwich or draw 93%
Norwich
4 : 2 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 92%
Club Brugge KV
4 : 1 FT
Dender
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 91%
Sporting CP
0 : 1 FT
Santa Clara
Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 65%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 89%
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 89%
Rennes
5 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Charleroi or draw 88%
Charleroi
1 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
Win 57%
Draw 31%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60% Charleroi Clean Sheet 54%
#8 Championship Β· England Bristol City or draw 87%
Bristol City
4 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 87%
Barcelona
1 : 2 FT
Las Palmas
Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 86%
Feyenoord
1 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Baník Ostrava or draw 85%
Baník Ostrava
2 : 1 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Augsburg or draw 85%
FC Augsburg
1 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Samsunspor or draw 85%
Samsunspor
4 : 0 FT
Bodrum FK
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 84%
NAC Breda
1 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 84%
AEK Athens FC
4 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#16 Premier League Β· England Brentford or draw 83%
Brentford
4 : 1 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#17 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 83%
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
Lausanne
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy Bologna or draw 82%
Bologna
3 : 0 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 82%
Dukla Praha
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Championship Β· England Watford or draw 81%
Watford
0 : 0 FT
QPR
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 30 November 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg (Eintracht Braunschweig or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.