Eintracht Braunschweig 0-0 SSV Jahn Regensburg – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Eintracht Braunschweig at 79% — recent form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Eintracht Braunschweig host SSV Jahn Regensburg at Eintracht-Stadion in 2. Bundesliga (matchday 14). Kick-off is Saturday 30 November 2024 at 12:00 UK time.
Recent Form
Across their last 10 games, Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 3W 3D 4L — a 1.20 PPG return. Last five: L D D W L. They are averaging 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.40 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%). Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
At home, Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 5W 2D 3L in their last 10 home games (1.70 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 clean sheets from their last 10 home games (50%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at home. Their home PPG of 1.70 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.20 — Eintracht Braunschweig are significantly better at home than their overall form suggests.
Looking at their last 10 matches, SSV Jahn Regensburg stand at 1W 1D 8L — 0.40 PPG. Last five: L L W L L. Their scoring rate of 0.40 per game is modest, conceding 2.90 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.90 per game is a high rate — their defence has been exposed regularly. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in only 10% of their fixtures — a very low rate that strongly backs BTTS No.
SSV Jahn Regensburg's away record over their last 7 away games: 1W 0D 6L (0.43 PPG). Away from home they average 0.71 goals scored and 3.29 conceded per game. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 29% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
Eintracht Braunschweig carry the stronger recent momentum — 0.80 PPG ahead of their opponents on 1.20 vs 0.40. The form data is a point in their favour, and where the price allows, it is the cleaner directional bet.
Head to Head
The H2H picture is flat: the 2 H2H matches we hold have produced 0 wins for Eintracht Braunschweig, 1 for SSV Jahn Regensburg and 1 draw. Form and model data should carry more weight here. With only 2 H2H matches to go on, treat this as a light input.
The 2 H2H matches in our data averaged 2.5 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 20 May 2023, ended Eintracht Braunschweig 1–2 SSV Jahn Regensburg — a SSV Jahn Regensburg win.
The head-to-head data offers no strong steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the model and current market pricing should carry more weight for this fixture.
In-Play Data
Eintracht Braunschweig trading profile (last 15 games, 7 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 100% of their matches in home games; of the 6 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 33%; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 43% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 53%.
SSV Jahn Regensburg trading profile (last 15 games, 7 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 86% of their matches in away games; of the 4 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 25%; BTTS occurs in 29% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of games (away games); they fail to score in 67% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Eintracht Braunschweig 60% versus SSV Jahn Regensburg 20%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Eintracht Braunschweig 60% | SSV Jahn Regensburg 53%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Eintracht Braunschweig 2.83 xG and SSV Jahn Regensburg 0.77 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 1.054 / defence 0.818 | SSV Jahn Regensburg attack 0.618 / defence 1.772. League average goals — home 1.512 / away 1.517. SSV Jahn Regensburg's defence rating of 1.772 (above 1 = concedes more than average) is pushing Eintracht Braunschweig's projected output up. SSV Jahn Regensburg's attack rating of 0.618 is below the league average, which holds their xG down at 0.77. Data: built from Eintracht Braunschweig's last 47 games and SSV Jahn Regensburg's last 13.
Result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 79% | Draw 14% | SSV Jahn Regensburg 7%. Fair-value odds: Eintracht Braunschweig 1.26 | Draw 7.01 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 14.99. The model has a clear lean to Eintracht Braunschweig (79%) — a 65pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 70% | BTTS Yes probability 51% | Total xG 3.59. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 70% — a total xG of 3.59 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 51% is only a slight lean — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Eintracht Braunschweig at 79% — clear model lean. Recent form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support.
The Poisson model projects 3.59 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 70% — reasonable conviction, supported by recent form (Eintracht Braunschweig's last 10 home games and SSV Jahn Regensburg's last 7 away games) averaging 3.4 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 51% on Yes. This conflicts with form data — both teams scored in: Eintracht Braunschweig 40% (last 10 home games) | SSV Jahn Regensburg 29% (last 7 away games), a notable divergence.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, matchday 14 | Venue: Eintracht-Stadion • Kick-off: Saturday 30 November 2024 at 12:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 79% | Draw 14% | SSV Jahn Regensburg 7% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 70% (Under 30%) | BTTS Yes 51% (No 49%) | xG Eintracht Braunschweig 2.83 / SSV Jahn Regensburg 0.77 • Poisson strength factors: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 1.054 / def 0.818 | SSV Jahn Regensburg attack 0.618 / def 1.772 | league avg home 1.512 / away 1.517 • Poisson stance: Eintracht Braunschweig (79%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
2.83
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Expected Goals
0.77
SSV Jahn Regensburg xG
51%
BTTS
88%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg FAQs
What time does Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg kick off?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg kicked off at 12:00 UK time on Saturday 30 November 2024 at Eintracht-Stadion.
What was the final score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
Eintracht Braunschweig 0 - 0 SSV Jahn Regensburg.
Where is Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg being played?
The match is being played at Eintracht-Stadion.
What competition is Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg part of?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg is a 2. Bundesliga fixture (matchday 14) (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
Our statistical model gives Eintracht Braunschweig a 79% chance of winning, SSV Jahn Regensburg a 7% chance, and a 14% chance of a draw — making Eintracht Braunschweig the favourite.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
Our model estimates a 51% probability that both Eintracht Braunschweig and SSV Jahn Regensburg will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 70%, so it leans towards over 2.5 goals.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates Eintracht Braunschweig's attack at 1.05x the league average against SSV Jahn Regensburg's defence at 1.77x — combine the two and it projects 2.83 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, SSV Jahn Regensburg's attack versus Eintracht Braunschweig's defence, projects 0.77 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from Eintracht Braunschweig's last 47 games and SSV Jahn Regensburg's last 13 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 2-0 carries the highest individual probability at 11.0% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 3-0 (10.4%), 2-1 (8.4%). Together the top three scorelines make up 30% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Eintracht Braunschweig Win
79%
1.26
14%
7.01
7%
14.99
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.0%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
10.4%
Home win
2 – 1
8.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.83
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Total xG
3.59
0.77
SSV Jahn Regensburg xG
1.26
79%
Home win
7.01
14%
Draw
14.99
7%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
70%
Over 2.5
1.43
30%
Under 2.5
3.33
48%
Over 3.5
2.08
52%
Under 3.5
1.92
29%
Over 4.5
3.45
71%
Under 4.5
1.41
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.96
49%
BTTS No
2.04
Clean Sheet
46%
2.15
6%
16.88
Win to Nil
37%
2.72
0%
–
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1 | 7.8 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 11.0 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 10.4 | 7.9 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 7.3 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
Our Poisson model rates 2-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.0%.
How many goals are Eintracht Braunschweig and SSV Jahn Regensburg expected to score?
The model projects 2.83 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 0.77 for SSV Jahn Regensburg, a combined total of 3.59.
How confident is the prediction model for Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 79%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Eintracht Braunschweig come into this having played 15 games, going 4W 3D 8L for 1.00 points per game. Their last five reads L-D-D-W-L.
On the other side, SSV Jahn Regensburg sit at 0.73 PPG from 15 outings (3W 2D 10L), a run that reads L-L-W-L-L across their last five.
Form-wise this is close to level: Eintracht Braunschweig on 1.00 PPG, SSV Jahn Regensburg on 0.73. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
Eintracht Braunschweig's home form reads 4W 1D 2L across their last 7 home games, a 1.86 PPG return. That's noticeably better than their 1.00 PPG overall — Eintracht Braunschweig are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
Away from home, SSV Jahn Regensburg have taken 0.43 points per game from their last 7 away games (1W 0D 6L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Eintracht Braunschweig come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Eintracht Braunschweig are averaging 1.13 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game recently; SSV Jahn Regensburg are on 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Eintracht Braunschweig have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games; SSV Jahn Regensburg in 20%.
Last 15 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Eintracht Braunschweig
Blended
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Blended
Eintracht Braunschweig (Home) vs SSV Jahn Regensburg (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Eintracht Braunschweig
Blended
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Blended
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Form FAQs
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and SSV Jahn Regensburg in coming into this match?
Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 4W 3D 8L in their last 15 games (1.00 PPG), while SSV Jahn Regensburg have gone 3W 2D 10L in their last 15 (0.73 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Eintracht Braunschweig at home or SSV Jahn Regensburg away?
Eintracht Braunschweig's home record (1.86 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Eintracht Braunschweig at home: 1.86 PPG; SSV Jahn Regensburg away: 0.43 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The head-to-head numbers here are drawn from the 4 H2H matches in our data, going back to November 2022. All of them came in 2. Bundesliga. The most recent in our data was on 26 April 2025, some 1 year back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Digging Into the Numbers
The most recent 2 H2H matches in our data have all been drawn — an unusually settled run for this fixture.
Eintracht Braunschweig's record when hosting SSV Jahn Regensburg specifically: 0W 1D 1L from 2 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 4 Meetings
0
Eintracht Braunschweig
3
Draws
1
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Recent Meetings
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and SSV Jahn Regensburg?
Across the 4 head-to-head matches in our data, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 0, SSV Jahn Regensburg have won 1, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Eintracht Braunschweig and SSV Jahn Regensburg last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 26 April 2025: SSV Jahn Regensburg 1-1 Eintracht Braunschweig.
Who has won more matches between Eintracht Braunschweig and SSV Jahn Regensburg?
SSV Jahn Regensburg have the better head-to-head record, with 1 wins from the 4 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Eintracht Braunschweig are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 71% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 20% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
SSV Jahn Regensburg are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 86% of their matches.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Eintracht Braunschweig 57%, SSV Jahn Regensburg 29% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 43% (Eintracht Braunschweig) and 57% (SSV Jahn Regensburg).
On the defensive side: Eintracht Braunschweig keep a clean sheet in 43% of their matches; SSV Jahn Regensburg in 71%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Eintracht Braunschweig home games / SSV Jahn Regensburg away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Eintracht Braunschweig and SSV Jahn Regensburg matches?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 57% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent matches and 29% of SSV Jahn Regensburg's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Are Eintracht Braunschweig and SSV Jahn Regensburg matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 43% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent games and 57% of SSV Jahn Regensburg's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Eintracht Braunschweig and SSV Jahn Regensburg matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 100% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent matches and 86% of SSV Jahn Regensburg's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Eintracht Braunschweig's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Eintracht-Stadion, Regular Season - 14, as Eintracht Braunschweig and SSV Jahn Regensburg drew 0-0 in the 2. Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 2.83 xG and SSV Jahn Regensburg 0.77 xG, a combined 3.59. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Eintracht Braunschweig fell 2.8 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 1.05 / defence 0.82 against SSV Jahn Regensburg attack 0.62 / defence 1.77, drawn from 47/13 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 79% | Draw 14% | SSV Jahn Regensburg 7%, with Eintracht Braunschweig to win its most likely call at 79%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 14% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 70%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 88% and missed. Over 3.5 was 48% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 60%, SSV Jahn Regensburg 53%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 40%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (15 games, 7 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.
SSV Jahn Regensburg's trading profile (15 games, 7 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 20% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 67% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Eintracht Braunschweig 1.00 PPG, SSV Jahn Regensburg 0.73 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Eintracht Braunschweig (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.57 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. SSV Jahn Regensburg (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 3.29 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.
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