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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 3 December 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 3 December 2024. Reading vs Cambridge United (Reading or draw) led the list at 88% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies four of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Reading or draw 88%
Reading
3 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 League Two Β· England AFC Wimbledon or draw 85%
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 2 FT
Newport County
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
#3 League One Β· England Charlton or draw 84%
Charlton
1 : 2 FT
Crawley Town
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 65% Charlton Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil Corinthians or draw 82%
Corinthians
3 : 0 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 League One Β· England Wrexham or draw 80%
Wrexham
1 : 0 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 League Two Β· England Bradford or draw 79%
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#7 League One Β· England Wycombe or draw 78%
Exeter City
2 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France Ajaccio or draw 77%
Ajaccio
0 : 0 FT
Bastia
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Premier League Β· England Crystal Palace or draw 75%
Ipswich
0 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 3 December 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Reading vs Cambridge United (Reading or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.