Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 21 September 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 21 September 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Real Madrid vs Espanyol (Real Madrid or draw) at 90% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid or draw
90%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit or draw
90%
Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua or draw
89%
League Two · England
Barrow or draw
86%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen or draw
85%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia or draw
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht or draw
84%
Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers or draw
83%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
83%
Championship · England
West Brom or draw
83%
League Two · England
Swindon Town or draw
83%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach or draw
83%
League One · England
Wycombe or draw
82%
League One · England
Wrexham or draw
82%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim or draw
82%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna or draw
81%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow or draw
81%
Championship · England
Bristol City or draw
80%
Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 21 September 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Madrid vs Espanyol (Real Madrid or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.