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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 22 September 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 22 September 2024. Feyenoord vs NAC Breda (Feyenoord or draw) led the list at 95% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 95%
Feyenoord
2 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 15%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 92%
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
AVS
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 91%
Buriram United
6 : 0 FT
Prachuap
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan or draw 88%
Lech Poznan
1 : 0 FT
Slask Wroclaw
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 58%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 88%
Inter
1 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv or draw 88%
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 3 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 12%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 86%
České Budějovice
0 : 2 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 14%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 53%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Elversberg or draw 86%
SV Elversberg
1 : 3 FT
SSV Ulm 1846
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 86%
Malmo FF
4 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig or draw 85%
FC St. Pauli
0 : 0 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 15%
Draw 22%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia FC Rostov or draw 84%
FC Rostov
0 : 0 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy Spezia or draw 84%
Spezia
4 : 2 FT
Carrarese
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium OH Leuven or draw 83%
OH Leuven
1 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France Nantes or draw 83%
Angers
1 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 17%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
#15 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Gwangju FC or draw 83%
Gwangju FC
0 : 2 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#16 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sigma Olomouc or draw 83%
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 1 FT
Dukla Praha
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#17 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC or draw 82%
Port FC
1 : 2 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France Montpellier or draw 82%
Montpellier
3 : 2 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 81%
Club Brugge KV
2 : 4 FT
Gent
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#20 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Gnistan or draw 81%
EIF
3 : 1 FT
Gnistan
Win 19%
Draw 23%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 22 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Feyenoord vs NAC Breda (Feyenoord or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.