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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 29 October 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 29 October 2023. Aston Villa vs Luton (Aston Villa or draw) sits top on 94% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 85%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa or draw 94%
Aston Villa
3 : 1 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 10%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 94%
Plzen
0 : 1 FT
Karviná
Win 83%
Draw 10%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Super League Β· China Hangzhou Greentown or draw 92%
Hangzhou Greentown
6 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria TSV Hartberg or draw 91%
Austria Lustenau
0 : 4 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 9%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#5 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns or draw 91%
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 55%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 89%
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 89%
PSV Eindhoven
5 : 2 FT
Ajax
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 88%
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw 88%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 : 2 FT
Stabaek
Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 88%
Panathinaikos
5 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 88%
Pendikspor
0 : 5 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 12%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 62%
#12 Super League Β· China Henan Jianye or draw 88%
Henan Jianye
1 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 87%
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 87%
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 86%
Bangkok United
3 : 1 FT
Ratchaburi
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil Corinthians or draw 86%
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Santos
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 57%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 86%
Legia Warszawa
1 : 3 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Ankaragücü or draw 86%
Ankaragücü
2 : 0 FT
Samsunspor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil Internacional or draw 86%
Internacional
3 : 4 FT
Coritiba
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#20 Superettan Β· Sweden Osters IF or draw 85%
Osters IF
1 : 0 FT
IK brage
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 29 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Aston Villa vs Luton (Aston Villa or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.