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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 28 October 2023

Wed 25 Thu 26 Fri 27 Sat 28 Sun 29 Mon 30 Tue 31

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 28 October 2023. Bayern München vs SV Darmstadt 98 (Bayern München or draw) led the list at 93% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 83%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 60%

Championship · England Leicester or draw 91%

League Two · England Stockport County or draw 90%

Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 56%

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Premier League · Russia Krylia Sovetov or draw 86%

Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sigma Olomouc or draw 86%

Championship · England Ipswich or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Super League 1 · Greece Atromitos or draw 85%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%

#10

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#11

League One · England Wigan or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#12

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%

#13

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 84%

#14

Ekstraklasa · Poland Slask Wroclaw or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#15

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Galatasaray Clean Sheet 54%

#16

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Baník Ostrava or draw 84%

#17

Super League · Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 83%

Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#18

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slovácko or draw 83%

#19

Ligue 2 · France Auxerre or draw 83%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%

#20

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 83%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 28 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs SV Darmstadt 98 (Bayern München or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.