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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 27 October 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 27 October 2023. Roda vs Jong Ajax (Roda or draw) sits top on 93% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Roda or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Premier Division · Ireland Shelbourne or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 59% Shelbourne Clean Sheet 55%

2. Bundesliga · Germany SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 56%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 60%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Police Tero or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Korona Kielce or draw 84%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Willem II or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 74%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 81%

Eintracht Braunschweig

#10

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

#11

Ligue 1 · France Nice or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#12

Premier Division · Ireland Dundalk or draw 79%

#13

Serie A · Brazil Vasco DA Gama or draw 78%

Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%

#14

Serie A · Italy Genoa or draw 78%

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%

#15

Süper Lig · Turkey Hatayspor or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

#16

Serie A · Brazil Santos or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%

#17

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Telstar or draw 77%

#18

Serie B · Italy Cremonese or draw 76%

#19

Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 76%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#20

Bundesliga · Germany VfL Bochum or draw 75%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 27 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Roda vs Jong Ajax (Roda or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.