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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 7 October 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 7 October 2023. RB Leipzig vs VfL Bochum (RB Leipzig or draw) sits top on 94% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 84%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 94%

Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 60%

League One · England Derby or draw 91%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%

Superettan · Sweden Vasteras SK FK or draw 90%

BTTS No 59% Vasteras SK FK Clean Sheet 54%

Bundesliga · Austria Rapid Vienna or draw 90%

Premier League · Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Baník Ostrava or draw 88%

Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

League Two · England Stockport County or draw 88%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 54%

Ligue 2 · France Saint Etienne or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Saint Etienne Clean Sheet 58%

Bundesliga · Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#10

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 87%

#11

League Two · England Crawley Town or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#12

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic České Budějovice or draw 85%

Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 66%

#13

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#14

League One · England Barnsley or draw 85%

#15

Championship · England Southampton or draw 85%

Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#16

Championship · England Cardiff or draw 85%

Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

#17

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 85%

#18

League One · England Charlton or draw 84%

#19

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Bohemians 1905 or draw 84%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%

#20

Ekstraklasa · Poland Radomiak Radom or draw 84%

Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 7 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by RB Leipzig vs VfL Bochum (RB Leipzig or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.