Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 6 October 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
16 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 6 October 2023. Fortuna Düsseldorf vs VfL Osnabrück (Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw) led the list at 90% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw
90%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan or draw
89%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United or draw
89%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda or draw
88%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr or draw
88%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor or draw
85%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia or draw
85%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC or draw
83%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club or draw
82%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi or draw
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport or draw
78%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg or draw
78%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw
77%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli or draw
76%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior or draw
76%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender or draw
76%
Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 6 October 2023?
16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fortuna Düsseldorf vs VfL Osnabrück (Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.