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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 8 October 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 8 October 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Tromso vs Aalesund (Tromso or draw) at 92% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eliteserien · Norway Tromso or draw 92%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 91%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 62%

Serie A · Brazil Palmeiras or draw 90%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 62% Palmeiras Clean Sheet 56%

Serie A · Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 88%

Super League · Switzerland FC Lugano or draw 88%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 60%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 88%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 68%

Eliteserien · Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#10

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#11

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#12

Super League 1 · Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 86%

Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#13

Superettan · Sweden Gais or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%

#14

Thai League 1 · Thailand Bangkok United or draw 84%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 60%

#15

Ekstraklasa · Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

#16

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 84%

#17

Bundesliga · Austria Lask Linz or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Lask Linz Clean Sheet 53%

#18

Süper Lig · Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 84%

#19

Eliteserien · Norway Sandefjord or draw 83%

Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 70%

#20

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 8 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Tromso vs Aalesund (Tromso or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.