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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 3 October 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 3 October 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Mansfield Town vs Wrexham (Mansfield Town or draw) at 87% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 92%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 87%

Serie A · Brazil Botafogo or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%

Championship · England West Brom or draw 86%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%

League One · England Oxford United or draw 85%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%

League Two · England Morecambe or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 58%

Superettan · Sweden Landskrona BoIS or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

League Two · England Stockport County or draw 79%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 77%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%

League One · England Peterborough or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%

#10

Championship · England Plymouth or draw 76%

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%

#11

League One · England Northampton or draw 76%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%

#12

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Willem II or draw 76%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 3 October 2023?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Mansfield Town vs Wrexham (Mansfield Town or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.