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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 17 March 2023

Tue 14 Wed 15 Thu 16 Fri 17 Sat 18 Sun 19 Mon 20

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 17 March 2023. PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda (PEC Zwolle or draw) led the list at 91% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands PEC Zwolle or draw 91%

Over 2.5 89% BTTS Yes 72%

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 89%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 64% Galatasaray Clean Sheet 57%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 89%

Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 59%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al Wahda FC or draw 87%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 60%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw 86%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands MVV or draw 84%

Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 65%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Fayha or draw 83%

Premier Division · Ireland Bohemians or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 82%

#10

Premier Division · Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

#11

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Jong AZ or draw 81%

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#12

2. Bundesliga · Germany Arminia Bielefeld or draw 81%

#13

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Helmond Sport or draw 80%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%

#14

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 79%

#15

Challenger Pro League · Belgium SK Beveren or draw 79%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 66%

#16

Premier Division · Ireland Cork City or draw 78%

#17

Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%

#18

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Damac or draw 77%

#19

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

#20

Serie A · Italy Atalanta or draw 76%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 17 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda (PEC Zwolle or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.