Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 3 March 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
17 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 3 March 2023. The strongest reading belongs to PEC Zwolle vs Den Bosch (PEC Zwolle or draw) at 90% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle or draw
90%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr or draw
90%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice or draw
88%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
87%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad or draw
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar or draw
80%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers or draw
80%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC or draw
80%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV or draw
80%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
80%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC or draw
78%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed or draw
77%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht or draw
77%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw
76%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC or draw
76%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar or draw
76%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista or draw
75%
Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 3 March 2023?
17 fixtures met the criteria, led by PEC Zwolle vs Den Bosch (PEC Zwolle or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.