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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 6 March 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Monday 6 March 2023. Genoa vs Cosenza (Genoa or draw) led the list at 91% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy Genoa or draw 91%
Genoa
4 : 0 FT
Cosenza
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Genoa Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 89%
Shamrock Rovers
4 : 4 FT
Cork City
Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland Dundalk or draw 88%
Dundalk
2 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
BTTS No 54%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland Sligo Rovers or draw 85%
Sligo Rovers
2 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 84%
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians or draw 82%
Bohemians
3 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 81%
De Graafschap
2 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Ajax or draw 76%
Jong Ajax
1 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 6 March 2023?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Genoa vs Cosenza (Genoa or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.