Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 17 February 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
14 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 17 February 2023. Auxerre vs Lyon (Lyon or draw) led the list at 89% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 79%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon or draw
89%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC or draw
85%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ or draw
84%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC or draw
84%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC or draw
82%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles or draw
82%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow or draw
81%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli or draw
80%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne or draw
80%
La Liga · Spain
Girona or draw
80%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk or draw
79%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle or draw
78%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United or draw
77%
Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk or draw
76%
Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Predictions by country
UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 17 February 2023?
14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Auxerre vs Lyon (Lyon or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.