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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 18 February 2023

Wed 15 Thu 16 Fri 17 Sat 18 Sun 19 Mon 20 Tue 21

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 18 February 2023. The strongest reading belongs to FC Porto vs Rio Ave (FC Porto or draw) at 92% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 92%

Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 53%

Bundesliga · Germany Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 91%

Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 66%

League One · England Ipswich or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 89%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 89%

Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Bundesliga · Germany VfL Bochum or draw 89%

Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 70%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 89%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 88%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Ajman or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#10

League Two · England Leyton Orient or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 56%

#11

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Fateh or draw 86%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%

#12

Championship · England Norwich or draw 85%

#13

Championship · England Middlesbrough or draw 85%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%

#14

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 84%

#15

Super League 1 · Greece Asteras Tripolis or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%

#16

Premier League · England Wolves or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#17

Premier League · England Newcastle or draw 84%

#18

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%

#19

Ligue 2 · France Le Havre or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 64%

#20

Ligue 1 · France Strasbourg or draw 83%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 18 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs Rio Ave (FC Porto or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.