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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Wednesday 9 November 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Wednesday 9 November 2022. BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai FC (BG Pathum United or draw) sits top on 88% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 68%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 88%

Super League 1 · Greece Panathinaikos or draw 88%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Super League 1 · Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 86%

Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Serie A · Italy Atalanta or draw 86%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 62%

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Bundesliga · Germany Union Berlin or draw 83%

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 81%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%

#10

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#11

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#12

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 80%

#13

Serie A · Italy Torino or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#14

Bundesliga · Germany FSV Mainz 05 or draw 78%

Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 70%

#15

La Liga · Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#16

Serie A · Brazil Fortaleza EC or draw 77%

Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#17

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%

#18

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 76%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%

#19

Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Köln or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 9 November 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai FC (BG Pathum United or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.