Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 8 November 2022
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
18 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 8 November 2022. SC Paderborn 07 vs Arminia Bielefeld (SC Paderborn 07 or draw) led the list at 92% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Serie A supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 61%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
92%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club or draw
87%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd or draw
87%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan or draw
87%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
87%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli or draw
86%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
83%
League Two · England
Leyton Orient or draw
82%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis or draw
82%
Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense or draw
80%
Championship · England
Watford or draw
80%
Championship · England
QPR or draw
78%
League Two · England
Salford City or draw
78%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk or draw
78%
Championship · England
Birmingham or draw
77%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli or draw
76%
Super League · China
Guangzhou R&F or draw
76%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona or draw
75%
Showing top 18 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 8 November 2022?
18 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Paderborn 07 vs Arminia Bielefeld (SC Paderborn 07 or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.