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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 15 October 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 15 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to BK Hacken vs GIF Sundsvall (BK Hacken or draw) at 94% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 82%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Sweden BK Hacken or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al Shabab or draw 93%

✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Al Shabab Clean Sheet 60%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Eliteserien · Norway Rosenborg or draw 91%

La Liga · Spain Valencia or draw 91%

Premier League · Russia Dynamo or draw 90%

Super League 1 · Greece Volos NFC or draw 89%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 63% Volos NFC Clean Sheet 56%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 88%

Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 62%

Bundesliga · Austria Rapid Vienna or draw 87%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%

#10

Premier League · England Wolves or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#11

Ligue 2 · France Le Havre or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%

#12

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 84%

#13

Championship · England Sheffield Utd or draw 84%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%

#14

Super League 1 · Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 84%

#15

League One · England Ipswich or draw 84%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%

#16

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

#17

Süper Lig · Turkey Konyaspor or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#18

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#19

Premier League · England Tottenham or draw 82%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%

#20

Super League · Switzerland Grasshoppers or draw 82%

Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 15 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by BK Hacken vs GIF Sundsvall (BK Hacken or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.