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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 14 October 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Friday 14 October 2022. SK Beveren vs Deinze (SK Beveren or draw) sits top on 85% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren or draw 85%
SK Beveren
2 : 1 FT
Deinze
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Almere City FC or draw 85%
Almere City FC
2 : 3 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda or draw 85%
Telstar
2 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Elfsborg or draw 84%
IF Elfsborg
1 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 League Two Β· England Tranmere or draw 82%
Tranmere
3 : 0 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Emmen or draw 82%
Emmen
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 82%
FC Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Wisla Plock or draw 81%
Wisla Plock
2 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Nakhon Ratchasima FC or draw 80%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 77%
NAC Breda
1 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine Veres Rivne or draw 76%
Minai
1 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#12 Premier League Β· Russia FC Rostov or draw 75%
FC Rostov
1 : 2 FT
Ural
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 14 October 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by SK Beveren vs Deinze (SK Beveren or draw) at 85% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.