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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 16 October 2022

Thu 13 Fri 14 Sat 15 Sun 16 Mon 17 Tue 18 Wed 19

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 16 October 2022. Ajax vs Excelsior (Ajax or draw) led the list at 95% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 95%

✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Serie A · Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 93%

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Atletico Paranaense Clean Sheet 54%

La Liga · Spain Real Betis or draw 92%

BTTS No 64% Real Betis Clean Sheet 59%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 91%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Al-Ittihad FC Clean Sheet 64%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Port FC or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Thai League 1 · Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 90%

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 90%

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 87%

#10

Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 86%

#11

Allsvenskan · Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#12

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 85%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%

#13

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 84%

Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#14

Challenger Pro League · Belgium RSC Anderlecht II or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#15

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 83%

#16

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Ajman or draw 82%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%

#17

2. Bundesliga · Germany SC Paderborn 07 or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%

#18

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

#19

Veikkausliiga · Finland Honka or draw 81%

Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#20

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC or draw 81%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 16 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs Excelsior (Ajax or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.