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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 6 May 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Friday 6 May 2022. Lecce vs Pordenone (Lecce or draw) sits top on 92% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie B supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 76%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Italy Lecce or draw 92%

✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Lecce Clean Sheet 57%

Premier Division · Ireland Sligo Rovers or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%

Serie B · Italy Frosinone or draw 88%

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 86%

Premier Division · Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 85%

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 83%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%

Serie B · Italy Benevento or draw 83%

Serie B · Italy Brescia or draw 80%

Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Bundesliga · Germany VfL Bochum or draw 78%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%

#10

Premier Division · Ireland Dundalk or draw 78%

Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 72% Dundalk Clean Sheet 55%

#11

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Emmen or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%

#12

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Abha or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#13

League One · England Sunderland or draw 77%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%

#14

Süper Lig · Turkey Gaziantep FK or draw 77%

Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#15

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Roda or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

#16

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al-Jazira or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%

#17

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Jong PSV U21 or draw 76%

Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 6 May 2022?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lecce vs Pordenone (Lecce or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.