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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 12 December 2021

Thu 9 Fri 10 Sat 11 Sun 12 Mon 13 Tue 14 Wed 15

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 12 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Famalicao vs Benfica (Benfica or draw) at 94% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 79%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Primeira Liga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 59% Ajax Clean Sheet 55%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Eliteserien · Norway Rosenborg or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 89%

✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Slavia Praha Clean Sheet 54%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Wisla Plock or draw 87%

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 87%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Estoril or draw 87%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 86%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%

#10

2. Bundesliga · Germany Karlsruher SC or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#11

Premier League · Russia Akhmat or draw 84%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%

#12

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 81%

#13

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 81%

#14

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 80%

#15

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#16

Eliteserien · Norway Lillestrom or draw 80%

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%

#17

Challenger Pro League · Belgium K. Lierse S.K. or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#18

Bundesliga · Germany Union Berlin or draw 79%

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%

#19

Serie A · Italy Torino or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#20

Super League · Switzerland Grasshoppers or draw 79%

Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 12 December 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Famalicao vs Benfica (Benfica or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.