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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 11 December 2021

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 11 December 2021. Oldham vs Forest Green (Forest Green or draw) sits top on 90% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · England Forest Green or draw 90%

League Two · England Leyton Orient or draw 90%

Super League 1 · Greece Panathinaikos or draw 90%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%

League One · England Rotherham or draw 89%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Serie A · Italy Fiorentina or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 54%

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 86%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#10

La Liga · Spain Espanyol or draw 86%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%

#11

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 85%

RB Leipzig

4 : 1 FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach

✓ Win 64%

Draw 21%

Win 15%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#12

League Two · England Hartlepool or draw 85%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%

#13

Eredivisie · Netherlands Utrecht or draw 85%

#14

Premier League · England Chelsea or draw 84%

#15

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lechia Gdansk or draw 83%

#16

Süper Lig · Turkey Başakşehir or draw 83%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 64%

#17

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 83%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%

#18

Championship · England Preston or draw 83%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%

#19

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 82%

Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#20

Ligue 2 · France Amiens or draw 82%

Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 70% Amiens Clean Sheet 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 11 December 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Oldham vs Forest Green (Forest Green or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.