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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 1 December 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 1 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Inter vs Spezia (Inter or draw) at 93% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 94%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 93%
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 11%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Premier League Β· England Chelsea or draw 88%
Watford
1 : 2 FT
Chelsea
Win 12%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 68%
BTTS No 55%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 86%
Feyenoord
2 : 1 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 85%
Rennes
1 : 2 FT
Lille
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Austria Sturm Graz or draw 85%
SCR Altach
0 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 85%
Everton
1 : 4 FT
Liverpool
Win 15%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France Strasbourg or draw 84%
Strasbourg
5 : 2 FT
Bordeaux
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Stade Brestois 29 or draw 84%
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil America Mineiro or draw 83%
America Mineiro
3 : 0 FT
Chapecoense-sc
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ America Mineiro Clean Sheet 54%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Bohemians 1905 or draw 83%
Bohemians 1905
3 : 0 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 81%
Genoa
0 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 19%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 79%
Sassuolo
2 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 78%
Real Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France Estac Troyes or draw 78%
Estac Troyes
2 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 76%
Aston Villa
1 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy Brescia or draw 76%
Parma
0 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 1 December 2021?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Spezia (Inter or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.