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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 3 December 2021

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Friday 3 December 2021. SV Darmstadt 98 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf (SV Darmstadt 98 or draw) sits top on 91% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Germany SV Darmstadt 98 or draw 91%

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands FC Volendam or draw 86%

Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 85%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 83%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Groningen or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Roda or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Ligue 2 · France Ajaccio or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 74% ✓ Ajaccio Clean Sheet 57%

#10

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 79%

Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 69%

#11

Bundesliga · Germany Union Berlin or draw 78%

#12

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%

#13

Championship · England Fulham or draw 76%

#14

Ligue 2 · France Sochaux or draw 75%

Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%

Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 3 December 2021?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by SV Darmstadt 98 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf (SV Darmstadt 98 or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.