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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 28 November 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 28 November 2021. Slavia Praha vs Teplice (Slavia Praha or draw) sits top on 95% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 95%
Slavia Praha
3 : 0 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 90%
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1 FT
Ajax
Win 10%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Ajax Clean Sheet 58%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 90%
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 67% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 60%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Utrecht or draw 89%
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan or draw 88%
Lech Poznan
2 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 55%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway Haugesund or draw 88%
Haugesund
1 : 2 FT
Sandefjord
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway Stromsgodset or draw 88%
Stromsgodset
– : – CANC
Haugesund
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV or draw 87%
Hamburger SV
3 : 0 FT
FC Ingolstadt 04
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 87%
Inhulets
0 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 13%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet 55%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 87%
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Goteborg or draw 87%
IFK Goteborg
4 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo or draw 85%
Colo Colo
0 : 1 FT
Union Espanola
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde or draw 85%
Molde
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica or draw 84%
U. Catolica
2 : 0 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Premier League Β· England Chelsea or draw 83%
Chelsea
1 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Hradec Králové or draw 83%
Hradec Králové
1 : 0 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 83%
Sporting CP
2 : 0 FT
Tondela
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 36%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#18 Primera División Β· Chile A. Italiano or draw 82%
Santiago Wanderers
2 : 2 FT
A. Italiano
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 82%
Marseille
1 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#20 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 82%
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 28 November 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs Teplice (Slavia Praha or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.