Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β Sunday 8 August 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 8 August 2021. Molde vs Haugesund (Molde or draw) led the list at 92% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 83%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde or draw
92%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille or draw
90%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF or draw
89%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg or draw
88%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille or draw
87%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi or draw
87%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense or draw
86%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Santa Clara or draw
86%
Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC or draw
86%
Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica or draw
85%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg or draw
85%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax or draw
84%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens or draw
84%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent or draw
83%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken or draw
83%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot or draw
83%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims or draw
83%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient or draw
83%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers or draw
83%
Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye or draw
83%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Predictions by country
Double Chance β common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 8 August 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Molde vs Haugesund (Molde or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.