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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 9 October 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

39 fixtures clear the bar on Friday 9 October 2026. Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo sits top on 77% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies eight of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
: 00:30
Coritiba
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
: 00:30
Bahia
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
: 05:00
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 36%
Draw 36%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
: 07:30
Bucheon FC 1995
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
: 07:30
Pohang Steelers
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Sichuan Jiuniu
: 11:35
Henan Jianye
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
: 12:00
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 45%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
: 15:00
Lahti
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wieczysta Kraków
: 16:00
Wisla Plock
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
: 16:30
Akron
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
: 17:45
GIL Vicente
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
: 18:00
Annecy
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier
: 18:00
Grenoble
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
: 18:00
Guingamp
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
: 18:00
Laval
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
: 18:00
Boulogne
Win 24%
Draw 37%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 · 19%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
: 18:00
FC Eindhoven
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
: 18:00
Jong Utrecht
Win 40%
Draw 21%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
: 18:00
Emmen
Win 46%
Draw 21%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
: 18:00
Vitesse
Win 42%
Draw 21%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles
: 18:00
Waalwijk
Win 35%
Draw 22%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
: 18:00
VVV Venlo
Win 30%
Draw 20%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
: 18:00
Den Bosch
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
: 18:00
MVV
Win 28%
Draw 21%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
: 18:00
Helmond Sport
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
: 18:00
Jong PSV U21
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
: 18:00
AS Eupen
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender
: 18:00
Club Brugge II
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
: 18:30
GKS Katowice
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
: 18:45
Lyon
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
: 18:45
Lommel United
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
: 18:45
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
: 18:45
Bohemians
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
: 18:45
Sligo Rovers
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
: 18:45
Galway United
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
West Ham
: 19:00
QPR
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
: 19:00
Drogheda United
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
: 19:15
Sporting CP
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
: 23:00
Nublense
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Showing 39 of 39 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 9 October 2026?

39 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.