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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 7 March 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

44 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 7 March 2025. The strongest reading belongs to FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse at 72% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 28%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Ukraine
Livyi Bereh
2 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 3 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 21%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 47%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
2 : 1 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
2 : 1 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
✓ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
1 : 1 FT
Akhmat
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
3 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1 : 1 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Bodrum FK
1 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
3 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen
0 : 1 FT
Laval
Win 27%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
0 : 2 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
Martigues
✓ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
2 : 2 FT
Ajaccio
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
2 : 0 FT
Amiens
✓ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 1 FT
Excelsior
✓ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 2 FT
Cambuur
Win 31%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 42%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
3 : 3 FT
Vitesse
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 23%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 54%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
4 : 0 FT
MVV
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
5 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
✓ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
2 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
5 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
✓ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 20%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 57%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
2 : 3 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 20%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2 : 2 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 26%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
2 : 2 FT
Al Shabab
Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 3 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 32%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
1 : 0 FT
Reggiana
Win 28%
Draw 35%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
1 : 1 FT
Monaco
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
1 : 1 FT
Genoa
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
✓ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
Cork City
1 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
0 : 3 FT
Bohemians
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Norwich
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela
1 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
1 : 0 FT
Huachipato
✓ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Showing 44 of 44 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 7 March 2025?

44 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse at 72% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.