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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 18 October 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 49 fixtures on Friday 18 October 2024. Guingamp vs PAU led the list at 75% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
0 : 2 FT
Fluminense
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
5 : 2 FT
Atletico Paranaense
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 1 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
1 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 2 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
4 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
✓ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
✓ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City
3 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
✓ Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 3 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Premier League · Russia
Akron
0 : 5 FT
Zenit
Win 15%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 0 FT
Al-Fayha
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 23%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
5 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
3 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
4 : 2 FT
Sandviken
✓ Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
2 : 3 FT
Fakel
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Martigues
0 : 2 FT
Rodez
Win 17%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
0 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 56%
Draw 19%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
2 : 2 FT
Caen
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Laval
3 : 2 FT
Dunkerque
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
2 : 0 FT
Metz
✓ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
3 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
3 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 2 FT
MVV
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
4 : 2 FT
Vitesse
✓ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 3 FT
Emmen
Win 25%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 3 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 28%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 32%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
2 : 0 FT
SK Beveren
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
1 : 2 FT
Liège
Win 33%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
1 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 31%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
✓ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 2 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 27%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Catanzaro
Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
0 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 32%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
2 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 13%
Draw 26%
Win 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 24%
Draw 39%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
3 : 1 FT
Waterford
✓ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 1 FT
Galway United
✓ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Leeds
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
✓ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Newport County
0 : 3 FT
Chesterfield
Win 36%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves
2 : 3 FT
Valladolid
Win 66%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
0 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 49 of 49 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 18 October 2024?

49 fixtures met the criteria, led by Guingamp vs PAU at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.